Tom Wardley vs Joseph Parker — stats-based predictionTom Wardley vs Joseph Parker — stats-based prediction

Tom Wardley vs Joseph Parker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Tom Wardley

23-2-1
VS
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
44%10% Draw46%
Wardley
Parker
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 46% edge over Tom Wardley in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tom Wardley wins 88% vs Joseph Parker at 91%

Wardley
10.0
Parker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wardley
0.0
Parker
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 193cm, Reach 198cm / ?cm

Wardley
5.6
Parker
4.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 91%

Wardley
10.0
Parker
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 44 bouts

Wardley
6.7
Parker
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 35 years old

Wardley
8.0
Parker
8.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.