Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence — stats-based predictionTim Tszyu vs Errol Spence — stats-based prediction

Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Tim Tszyu

30-3-0
VS

Errol Spence

29-1-0
46%10% Draw44%
Tszyu
Spence
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tim Tszyu a 46% edge over Errol Spence in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tim Tszyu wins 91% vs Errol Spence at 97%

Tszyu
10.0
Spence
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Tszyu
0.0
Spence
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 175cm, Reach 5cm / ?cm

Tszyu
5.0
Spence
5.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 97%

Tszyu
10.0
Spence
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Tszyu
8.0
Spence
6.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

33 bouts vs 30 bouts

Tszyu
10.0
Spence
9.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.