Terence Crawford vs David Morrell — stats-based predictionTerence Crawford vs David Morrell — stats-based prediction

Terence Crawford vs David Morrell

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇺🇸

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
VS

David Morrell

14-2-0
43%10% Draw47%
Crawford
Morrell
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives David Morrell a 47% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Terence Crawford wins 100% vs David Morrell at 88%

Crawford
10.0
Morrell
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Crawford
0.0
Morrell
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / 196cm

Crawford
2.6
Morrell
7.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 88%

Crawford
10.0
Morrell
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

42 bouts vs 16 bouts

Crawford
10.0
Morrell
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 29 years old

Crawford
3.9
Morrell
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.