BREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Joseph Parker — stats-based predictionBREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Joseph Parker — stats-based prediction

Oleksandr Usyk vs Joseph Parker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
VS
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Usyk
Parker
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 49% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Oleksandr Usyk wins 100% vs Joseph Parker at 91%

Usyk
10.0
Parker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Usyk
0.0
Parker
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Usyk
4.6
Parker
5.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 91%

Usyk
10.0
Parker
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 34 years old

Usyk
3.7
Parker
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 44 bouts

Usyk
6.4
Parker
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.