Manny Pacquiao vs Isaac Cruz — stats-based predictionManny Pacquiao vs Isaac Cruz — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Isaac Cruz

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS

Isaac Cruz

33-3-2
45%10% Draw45%
Pacquiao
Cruz
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Isaac Cruz a 45% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Isaac Cruz at 87%

Pacquiao
10.0
Cruz
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pacquiao
0.0
Cruz
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Pacquiao
5.6
Cruz
4.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 92%

Pacquiao
10.0
Cruz
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

48 years old vs 28 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
Cruz
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 38 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
Cruz
5.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.