Khamzat Chimaev vs Dalton Smith — stats-based predictionKhamzat Chimaev vs Dalton Smith — stats-based prediction

Khamzat Chimaev vs Dalton Smith

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
VS

Dalton Smith

19-0-0
50%10% Draw40%
Chimaev
Smith
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 50% edge over Dalton Smith in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Dalton Smith at 100%

Chimaev
10.0
Smith
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 0%

Chimaev
4.8
Smith
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Chimaev
7.0
Smith
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Chimaev
10.0
Smith
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 19 bouts

Chimaev
8.3
Smith
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 30 years old

Chimaev
8.0
Smith
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.