BREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Tony Bellew — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Tony Bellew — stats-based prediction

Joseph Parker vs Tony Bellew

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
VS
🇬🇧

Tony Bellew

34-3-1
49%10% Draw41%
Parker
Bellew
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 49% edge over Tony Bellew in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Tony Bellew at 89%

Parker
10.0
Bellew
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Parker
0.0
Bellew
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Parker
5.4
Bellew
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 92%

Parker
10.0
Bellew
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 43 years old

Parker
8.7
Bellew
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 38 bouts

Parker
10.0
Bellew
8.9
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.