Joseph Parker vs Tom Wardley — stats-based predictionJoseph Parker vs Tom Wardley — stats-based prediction

Joseph Parker vs Tom Wardley

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
VS

Tom Wardley

23-2-1
46%10% Draw44%
Parker
Wardley
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 46% edge over Tom Wardley in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Tom Wardley at 88%

Parker
10.0
Wardley
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Parker
0.0
Wardley
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 196cm, Reach ?cm / 198cm

Parker
4.4
Wardley
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 92%

Parker
10.0
Wardley
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 26 bouts

Parker
10.0
Wardley
6.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 32 years old

Parker
8.2
Wardley
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.