Joseph Parker vs Jonathan Martin

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0

Jonathan Martin

23-6-0

44%10% Draw46%

Parker

Martin

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jonathan Martin a 46% edge over Joseph Parker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Jonathan Martin at 79%

Parker

10.0

Martin

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 74%

Parker

0.0

Martin

8.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 198cm

Parker

6.0

Martin

4.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 79%

Parker

10.0

Martin

8.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 42 years old

Parker

8.4

Martin

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 29 bouts

Parker

10.0

Martin

7.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.