Joseph Parker vs Deontay Wilder

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1

45%10% Draw45%

Parker

Wilder

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 45% edge over Joseph Parker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Deontay Wilder at 91%

Parker

10.0

Wilder

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Parker

0.0

Wilder

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 202cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Parker

3.2

Wilder

6.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 93%

Parker

10.0

Wilder

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 41 years old

Parker

8.7

Wilder

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 55 bouts

Parker

8.4

Wilder

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.