BREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Joseph Parker vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
45%10% Draw45%
Parker
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 45% edge over Joseph Parker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Parker
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Parker
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Parker
4.0
Joshua
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 89%

Parker
10.0
Joshua
9.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 37 years old

Parker
8.7
Joshua
6.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 37 bouts

Parker
10.0
Joshua
8.7
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.