Joseph Benavidez vs David Morrell

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0

David Morrell

14-2-0

41%10% Draw49%

Benavidez

Morrell

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives David Morrell a 49% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs David Morrell at 88%

Benavidez

9.3

Morrell

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 0%

Benavidez

3.4

Morrell

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / 196cm

Benavidez

1.0

Morrell

9.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 88%

Benavidez

8.6

Morrell

9.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 29 years old

Benavidez

3.0

Morrell

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 16 bouts

Benavidez

10.0

Morrell

5.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.