Errol Spence vs Tim Tszyu — stats-based predictionErrol Spence vs Tim Tszyu — stats-based prediction

Errol Spence vs Tim Tszyu

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Errol Spence

29-1-0
VS

Tim Tszyu

30-3-0
44%10% Draw46%
Spence
Tszyu
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tim Tszyu a 46% edge over Errol Spence in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Errol Spence wins 97% vs Tim Tszyu at 91%

Spence
10.0
Tszyu
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Spence
0.0
Tszyu
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Spence
5.0
Tszyu
5.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 91%

Spence
10.0
Tszyu
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 30 years old

Spence
6.4
Tszyu
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 33 bouts

Spence
9.3
Tszyu
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.