Eddie Alvarez vs Jaime Munguia — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs Jaime Munguia — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs Jaime Munguia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

Jaime Munguia

47-2-0
44%10% Draw46%
Alvarez
Munguia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jaime Munguia a 46% edge over Eddie Alvarez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Jaime Munguia at 96%

Alvarez
9.5
Munguia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 0%

Alvarez
6.8
Munguia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / 183cm

Alvarez
3.4
Munguia
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 96%

Alvarez
8.7
Munguia
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 30 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Munguia
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 49 bouts

Alvarez
8.2
Munguia
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.