BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Joseph Parker — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Joseph Parker — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Joseph Parker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
45%10% Draw45%
Joshua
Parker
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 45% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Joseph Parker at 91%

Joshua
10.0
Parker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Parker
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
6.0
Parker
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 91%

Joshua
9.8
Parker
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 34 years old

Joshua
6.5
Parker
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 44 bouts

Joshua
8.7
Parker
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.