Zhang Zhilei vs Arslanbek Makhmudov — stats-based predictionZhang Zhilei vs Arslanbek Makhmudov — stats-based prediction

Zhang Zhilei vs Arslanbek Makhmudov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Zhang Zhilei

31-3-1
VS

Arslanbek Makhmudov

24-3-0
44%10% Draw46%
Zhilei
Makhmudov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Arslanbek Makhmudov a 46% edge over Zhang Zhilei in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Zhang Zhilei wins 89% vs Arslanbek Makhmudov at 89%

Zhilei
10.0
Makhmudov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Zhilei
0.0
Makhmudov
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 200cm / 197cm, Reach ?cm / 194cm

Zhilei
5.6
Makhmudov
4.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 89%

Zhilei
10.0
Makhmudov
9.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 30 years old

Zhilei
3.0
Makhmudov
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

35 bouts vs 27 bouts

Zhilei
10.0
Makhmudov
8.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.