Vicente Luque vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇧🇷

Vicente Luque

24-12-1

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0

45%10% Draw45%

Luque

Alvarez

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 45% edge over Vicente Luque in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Vicente Luque wins 65% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Luque

7.8

Alvarez

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 57%

Luque

5.5

Alvarez

6.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Luque

6.0

Alvarez

4.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

68% survival rate vs 79%

Luque

7.4

Alvarez

8.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 42 years old

Luque

8.5

Alvarez

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 38 bouts

Luque

9.8

Alvarez

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.