Vasyl Lomachenko vs Maxi Hughes — stats-based predictionVasyl Lomachenko vs Maxi Hughes — stats-based prediction

Vasyl Lomachenko vs Maxi Hughes

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
VS

Maxi Hughes

41-10-2
42%10% Draw48%
Lomachenko
Hughes
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Maxi Hughes a 48% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Vasyl Lomachenko wins 88% vs Maxi Hughes at 77%

Lomachenko
10.0
Hughes
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Lomachenko
0.0
Hughes
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 81%

Lomachenko
9.6
Hughes
8.9
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Lomachenko
5.0
Hughes
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 53 bouts

Lomachenko
5.6
Hughes
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 30 years old

Lomachenko
4.3
Hughes
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.