BREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based prediction

Vasyl Lomachenko vs Gervonta Davis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
VS

Gervonta Davis

31-0-1
43%10% Draw47%
Lomachenko
Davis
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Gervonta Davis a 47% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Vasyl Lomachenko wins 88% vs Gervonta Davis at 97%

Lomachenko
10.0
Davis
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Lomachenko
0.0
Davis
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Lomachenko
5.4
Davis
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 100%

Lomachenko
9.6
Davis
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 31 years old

Lomachenko
4.8
Davis
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 32 bouts

Lomachenko
8.0
Davis
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.