BREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Claressa Shields — stats-based predictionBREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Claressa Shields — stats-based prediction

Vasyl Lomachenko vs Claressa Shields

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
VS

Claressa Shields

2-1-0
43%10% Draw47%
Lomachenko
Shields
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Claressa Shields a 47% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Vasyl Lomachenko wins 88% vs Claressa Shields at 67%

Lomachenko
10.0
Shields
8.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 50%

Lomachenko
0.0
Shields
6.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Lomachenko
3.4
Shields
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 67%

Lomachenko
9.6
Shields
7.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 3 bouts

Lomachenko
10.0
Shields
3.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 31 years old

Lomachenko
4.8
Shields
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.