Valentina Shevchenko vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionValentina Shevchenko vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Valentina Shevchenko vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Valentina Shevchenko

26-4-1
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
42%10% Draw48%
Shevchenko
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 48% edge over Valentina Shevchenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Valentina Shevchenko wins 84% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Shevchenko
10.0
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

31% stoppage rate vs 57%

Shevchenko
3.7
Alvarez
6.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 165cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Shevchenko
3.0
Alvarez
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 79%

Shevchenko
9.6
Alvarez
8.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 42 years old

Shevchenko
4.8
Alvarez
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

31 bouts vs 38 bouts

Shevchenko
8.5
Alvarez
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.