Tyson Fury vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇧

Tyson Fury

38-2-1

Jake Paul

14-2-0

49%10% Draw41%

Fury

Paul

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tyson Fury a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tyson Fury wins 93% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Fury

10.0

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Fury

0.0

Paul

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 206cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Fury

7.0

Paul

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

95% survival rate vs 88%

Fury

10.0

Paul

9.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

41 bouts vs 16 bouts

Fury

10.0

Paul

5.1

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 29 years old

Fury

5.3

Paul

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.