BREAKINGTony Bellew vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGTony Bellew vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Tony Bellew vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Tony Bellew

34-3-1
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
42%10% Draw48%
Bellew
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 48% edge over Tony Bellew in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tony Bellew wins 89% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Bellew
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Bellew
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Bellew
3.6
Joshua
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 89%

Bellew
10.0
Joshua
9.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 37 years old

Bellew
3.0
Joshua
6.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 37 bouts

Bellew
10.0
Joshua
9.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.