Tom Wardley vs Khamzat Chimaev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Tom Wardley

23-2-1

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0

45%10% Draw45%

Wardley

Chimaev

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 45% edge over Tom Wardley in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tom Wardley wins 88% vs Khamzat Chimaev at 100%

Wardley

10.0

Chimaev

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 40%

Wardley

0.0

Chimaev

4.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 188cm, Reach 198cm / ?cm

Wardley

6.6

Chimaev

3.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 100%

Wardley

10.0

Chimaev

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 15 bouts

Wardley

10.0

Chimaev

6.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 33 years old

Wardley

8.0

Chimaev

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.