BREAKINGTerence Crawford vs Naoya Inoue — stats-based predictionBREAKINGTerence Crawford vs Naoya Inoue — stats-based prediction

Terence Crawford vs Naoya Inoue

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
VS
🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0
46%10% Draw44%
Crawford
Inoue
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Terence Crawford a 46% edge over Naoya Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Terence Crawford wins 100% vs Naoya Inoue at 100%

Crawford
10.0
Inoue
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Crawford
0.0
Inoue
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Crawford
7.0
Inoue
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Crawford
10.0
Inoue
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 33 years old

Crawford
4.4
Inoue
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

42 bouts vs 32 bouts

Crawford
10.0
Inoue
8.1
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.