Terence Crawford vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionTerence Crawford vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Terence Crawford vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
42%10% Draw48%
Crawford
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 48% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Terence Crawford wins 100% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Crawford
10.0
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 57%

Crawford
0.0
Alvarez
6.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 79%

Crawford
10.0
Alvarez
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Crawford
4.6
Alvarez
5.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 42 years old

Crawford
4.4
Alvarez
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

42 bouts vs 38 bouts

Crawford
10.0
Alvarez
9.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.