Teófilo Stevenson vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based predictionTeófilo Stevenson vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based prediction

Teófilo Stevenson vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇺

Teófilo Stevenson

332-22-8
VS

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
49%10% Draw41%
Stevenson
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Teófilo Stevenson a 49% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Teófilo Stevenson wins 92% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Stevenson
10.0
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Stevenson
0.0
Garcia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Stevenson
7.0
Garcia
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

94% survival rate vs 93%

Stevenson
10.0
Garcia
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

362 bouts vs 30 bouts

Stevenson
10.0
Garcia
2.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

74 years old vs 28 years old

Stevenson
3.0
Garcia
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.