Teófilo Stevenson vs Junior dos Santos — stats-based predictionTeófilo Stevenson vs Junior dos Santos — stats-based prediction

Teófilo Stevenson vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇺

Teófilo Stevenson

332-22-8
VS
🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0
46%10% Draw44%
Stevenson
Santos
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Teófilo Stevenson a 46% edge over Junior dos Santos in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Teófilo Stevenson wins 92% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Stevenson
10.0
Santos
8.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 70%

Stevenson
0.0
Santos
8.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Stevenson
6.2
Santos
3.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

94% survival rate vs 70%

Stevenson
10.0
Santos
7.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

362 bouts vs 33 bouts

Stevenson
10.0
Santos
2.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

74 years old vs 42 years old

Stevenson
3.0
Santos
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.