Takuma Inoue vs Naoya Inoue

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Takuma Inoue

23-2-0

🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0

44%10% Draw46%

Inoue

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Naoya Inoue a 46% edge over Takuma Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Takuma Inoue wins 92% vs Naoya Inoue at 100%

Inoue

10.0

Inoue

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Inoue

0.0

Inoue

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 163cm, Reach 5cm / ?cm

Inoue

5.0

Inoue

5.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 100%

Inoue

10.0

Inoue

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

25 bouts vs 32 bouts

Inoue

8.3

Inoue

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 33 years old

Inoue

8.0

Inoue

9.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.