T.J. Dillashaw vs Yanis Ghemmouri — stats-based predictionT.J. Dillashaw vs Yanis Ghemmouri — stats-based prediction

T.J. Dillashaw vs Yanis Ghemmouri

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

T.J. Dillashaw

17-5-0
VS

Yanis Ghemmouri

12-1-0
40%10% Draw50%
Dillashaw
Ghemmouri
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Yanis Ghemmouri a 50% edge over T.J. Dillashaw in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

T.J. Dillashaw wins 77% vs Yanis Ghemmouri at 92%

Dillashaw
9.3
Ghemmouri
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

47% stoppage rate vs 67%

Dillashaw
5.6
Ghemmouri
8.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / 13cm

Dillashaw
3.0
Ghemmouri
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 92%

Dillashaw
8.5
Ghemmouri
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 28 years old

Dillashaw
3.0
Ghemmouri
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 13 bouts

Dillashaw
10.0
Ghemmouri
6.7

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.