BREAKINGSonny Bill Williams vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based predictionBREAKINGSonny Bill Williams vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based prediction

Sonny Bill Williams vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Sonny Bill Williams

11-2-0
VS

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
41%10% Draw49%
Williams
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 49% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sonny Bill Williams wins 85% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Williams
10.0
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Williams
0.0
Garcia
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 93%

Williams
9.3
Garcia
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Williams
5.0
Garcia
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 28 years old

Williams
3.0
Garcia
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

13 bouts vs 30 bouts

Williams
5.5
Garcia
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.