Sonny Bill Williams vs Jonathan Martin

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Sonny Bill Williams

11-2-0

Jonathan Martin

23-6-0

38%10% Draw52%

Williams

Martin

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jonathan Martin a 52% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sonny Bill Williams wins 85% vs Jonathan Martin at 79%

Williams

10.0

Martin

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 74%

Williams

0.0

Martin

8.9

DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 79%

Williams

9.3

Martin

8.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 198cm

Williams

5.0

Martin

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

13 bouts vs 29 bouts

Williams

5.6

Martin

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 42 years old

Williams

3.0

Martin

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.