Sharabutdin Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based predictionSharabutdin Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based prediction

Sharabutdin Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Sharabutdin Magomedov

16-1-0
VS
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
45%10% Draw45%
Magomedov
Adesanya
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 45% edge over Sharabutdin Magomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sharabutdin Magomedov wins 94% vs Israel Adesanya at 80%

Magomedov
10.0
Adesanya
9.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

75% stoppage rate vs 67%

Magomedov
9.0
Adesanya
8.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Magomedov
4.0
Adesanya
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

94% survival rate vs 80%

Magomedov
10.0
Adesanya
8.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 30 bouts

Magomedov
6.5
Adesanya
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 37 years old

Magomedov
8.0
Adesanya
6.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.