Sharabutdin Magomedov vs Canelo Álvarez — stats-based predictionSharabutdin Magomedov vs Canelo Álvarez — stats-based prediction

Sharabutdin Magomedov vs Canelo Álvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Sharabutdin Magomedov

16-1-0
VS
🇲🇽

Canelo Álvarez

68-3-2
50%10% Draw40%
Magomedov
Álvarez
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Sharabutdin Magomedov a 50% edge over Canelo Álvarez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sharabutdin Magomedov wins 94% vs Canelo Álvarez at 93%

Magomedov
10.0
Álvarez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

75% stoppage rate vs 0%

Magomedov
9.0
Álvarez
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Magomedov
7.0
Álvarez
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

94% survival rate vs 96%

Magomedov
10.0
Álvarez
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 73 bouts

Magomedov
3.9
Álvarez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 36 years old

Magomedov
8.0
Álvarez
6.7

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.