Sergey Spivak vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Sergey Spivak

18-6-0

🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0

45%10% Draw45%

Spivak

Santos

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Junior dos Santos a 45% edge over Sergey Spivak in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sergey Spivak wins 75% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Spivak

9.0

Santos

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

39% stoppage rate vs 70%

Spivak

4.7

Santos

8.3

DurabilityWeight: ★★

75% survival rate vs 70%

Spivak

8.3

Santos

7.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Spivak

5.2

Santos

4.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 43 years old

Spivak

8.0

Santos

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 33 bouts

Spivak

7.8

Santos

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.