Ryōta Murata vs Robson Conceição — stats-based predictionRyōta Murata vs Robson Conceição — stats-based prediction

Ryōta Murata vs Robson Conceição

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH
🇯🇵

Ryōta Murata

19-3-0
VS
🇧🇷

Robson Conceição

26-3-1
44%10% Draw46%
Murata
Conceição
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Robson Conceição a 46% edge over Ryōta Murata in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryōta Murata wins 86% vs Robson Conceição at 87%

Murata
10.0
Conceição
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Murata
0.0
Conceição
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 182cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / 178cm

Murata
6.4
Conceição
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 90%

Murata
9.5
Conceição
9.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 38 years old

Murata
3.0
Conceição
5.2
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 30 bouts

Murata
7.9
Conceição
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.