Rhys Edwards vs Jack Johnson — stats-based predictionRhys Edwards vs Jack Johnson — stats-based prediction

Rhys Edwards vs Jack Johnson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Rhys Edwards

31-3-3
VS

Jack Johnson

94-11-10
41%10% Draw49%
Edwards
Johnson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jack Johnson a 49% edge over Rhys Edwards in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Rhys Edwards wins 84% vs Jack Johnson at 82%

Edwards
10.0
Johnson
9.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Edwards
0.0
Johnson
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 184cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards
2.2
Johnson
7.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 90%

Edwards
10.0
Johnson
9.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 115 bouts

Edwards
4.6
Johnson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 149 years old

Edwards
8.0
Johnson
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.