Rhys Edwards vs Holly Holm

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Rhys Edwards

31-3-3

Holly Holm

15-7-0

46%10% Draw44%

Edwards

Holm

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Rhys Edwards a 46% edge over Holly Holm in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Rhys Edwards wins 84% vs Holly Holm at 68%

Edwards

10.0

Holm

8.2

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 53%

Edwards

0.0

Holm

6.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 68%

Edwards

10.0

Holm

7.5

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Edwards

4.4

Holm

5.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 45 years old

Edwards

8.0

Holm

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 22 bouts

Edwards

10.0

Holm

6.8

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.