BREAKINGÓscar Valdez vs Vasyl Lomachenko — stats-based predictionBREAKINGÓscar Valdez vs Vasyl Lomachenko — stats-based prediction

Óscar Valdez vs Vasyl Lomachenko

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇲🇽

Óscar Valdez

36-3-0
VS
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
47%10% Draw43%
Valdez
Lomachenko
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Óscar Valdez a 47% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Óscar Valdez wins 92% vs Vasyl Lomachenko at 88%

Valdez
10.0
Lomachenko
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Valdez
0.0
Lomachenko
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Valdez
4.2
Lomachenko
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 88%

Valdez
10.0
Lomachenko
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

39 bouts vs 24 bouts

Valdez
10.0
Lomachenko
6.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 38 years old

Valdez
7.7
Lomachenko
4.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.