Noel Mikaelian vs Joseph Benavidez — stats-based predictionNoel Mikaelian vs Joseph Benavidez — stats-based prediction

Noel Mikaelian vs Joseph Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Noel Mikaelian

31-3-0
VS

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
46%10% Draw44%
Mikaelian
Benavidez
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Noel Mikaelian a 46% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Noel Mikaelian wins 91% vs Joseph Benavidez at 78%

Mikaelian
10.0
Benavidez
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 29%

Mikaelian
0.0
Benavidez
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 78%

Mikaelian
10.0
Benavidez
8.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 163cm, Reach 191cm / ?cm

Mikaelian
5.0
Benavidez
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 42 years old

Mikaelian
7.1
Benavidez
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

34 bouts vs 36 bouts

Mikaelian
9.6
Benavidez
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.