Natan Schulte vs Usman Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionNatan Schulte vs Usman Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Natan Schulte vs Usman Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Natan Schulte

26-6-1
VS
🇷🇺

Usman Nurmagomedov

21-0-0
44%10% Draw46%
Schulte
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Usman Nurmagomedov a 46% edge over Natan Schulte in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Natan Schulte wins 79% vs Usman Nurmagomedov at 100%

Schulte
9.5
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

15% stoppage rate vs 38%

Schulte
1.8
Nurmagomedov
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

82% survival rate vs 100%

Schulte
9.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / ?cm, Reach 175cm / ?cm

Schulte
5.0
Nurmagomedov
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

33 bouts vs 21 bouts

Schulte
10.0
Nurmagomedov
7.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 28 years old

Schulte
8.5
Nurmagomedov
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.