Natan Schulte vs Rory MacDonald

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Natan Schulte

26-6-1

🇨🇦

Rory MacDonald

23-10-1

45%10% Draw45%

Schulte

MacDonald

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Rory MacDonald a 45% edge over Natan Schulte in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Natan Schulte wins 79% vs Rory MacDonald at 68%

Schulte

9.5

MacDonald

8.1

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

15% stoppage rate vs 30%

Schulte

1.8

MacDonald

3.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 183cm, Reach 175cm / ?cm

Schulte

4.0

MacDonald

6.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

82% survival rate vs 71%

Schulte

9.0

MacDonald

7.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 37 years old

Schulte

8.5

MacDonald

5.9

ExperienceWeight: ★★

33 bouts vs 34 bouts

Schulte

9.8

MacDonald

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.