BREAKINGNaoya Inoue vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionBREAKINGNaoya Inoue vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Naoya Inoue vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
44%10% Draw46%
Inoue
Crawford
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Terence Crawford a 46% edge over Naoya Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Naoya Inoue wins 100% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Inoue
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Inoue
0.0
Crawford
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Inoue
3.0
Crawford
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Inoue
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 39 years old

Inoue
10.0
Crawford
4.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 42 bouts

Inoue
8.1
Crawford
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.