Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0

🇺🇿

Murodjon Akhmadaliev

16-2-0

41%10% Draw49%

Inoue

Akhmadaliev

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Murodjon Akhmadaliev a 49% edge over Naoya Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Naoya Inoue wins 100% vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev at 89%

Inoue

10.0

Akhmadaliev

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 69%

Inoue

0.0

Akhmadaliev

8.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Inoue

4.6

Akhmadaliev

5.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 89%

Inoue

10.0

Akhmadaliev

9.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 18 bouts

Inoue

10.0

Akhmadaliev

6.5

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 31 years old

Inoue

9.9

Akhmadaliev

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.