BREAKINGNaoya Inoue vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGNaoya Inoue vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Naoya Inoue vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Inoue
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Naoya Inoue in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Naoya Inoue wins 100% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Inoue
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Inoue
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Inoue
1.0
Joshua
10.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 89%

Inoue
10.0
Joshua
9.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 37 years old

Inoue
10.0
Joshua
6.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 37 bouts

Inoue
8.9
Joshua
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.