Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović — stats-based predictionMoses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović — stats-based prediction

Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Moses Itauma

14-0-0
VS
🇭🇷

Filip Hrgović

20-1-0
42%10% Draw48%
Itauma
Hrgović
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Filip Hrgović a 48% edge over Moses Itauma in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Moses Itauma wins 100% vs Filip Hrgović at 95%

Itauma
10.0
Hrgović
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Itauma
0.0
Hrgović
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 198cm, Reach 201cm / ?cm

Itauma
4.0
Hrgović
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 95%

Itauma
10.0
Hrgović
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

14 bouts vs 21 bouts

Itauma
7.3
Hrgović
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 34 years old

Itauma
8.0
Hrgović
8.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.