Michael Oliveira vs Jack Della Maddalena

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Michael Oliveira

37-11-0

🇦🇺

Jack Della Maddalena

18-3-0

41%10% Draw49%

Oliveira

Maddalena

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jack Della Maddalena a 49% edge over Michael Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Michael Oliveira wins 77% vs Jack Della Maddalena at 86%

Oliveira

9.3

Maddalena

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

27% stoppage rate vs 67%

Oliveira

3.2

Maddalena

8.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 86%

Oliveira

8.5

Maddalena

9.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 180cm, Reach 188cm / ?cm

Oliveira

4.6

Maddalena

5.4

ExperienceWeight: ★★

48 bouts vs 21 bouts

Oliveira

10.0

Maddalena

5.5

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 30 years old

Oliveira

6.0

Maddalena

8.0

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AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.