Michael Cieslak vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Michael Cieslak

24-1-0

🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0

44%10% Draw46%

Cieslak

Joshua

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 46% edge over Michael Cieslak in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Michael Cieslak wins 96% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Cieslak

10.0

Joshua

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Cieslak

0.0

Joshua

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 198cm, Reach 5cm / ?cm

Cieslak

4.6

Joshua

5.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

96% survival rate vs 89%

Cieslak

10.0

Joshua

9.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

25 bouts vs 37 bouts

Cieslak

7.4

Joshua

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Cieslak

8.0

Joshua

5.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.