Marlen Esparza vs Carla Esparza

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Marlen Esparza

18-3-0

Carla Esparza

19-8-0

46%10% Draw44%

Esparza

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Marlen Esparza a 46% edge over Carla Esparza in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Marlen Esparza wins 86% vs Carla Esparza at 70%

Esparza

10.0

Esparza

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 21%

Esparza

0.0

Esparza

2.5

DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 70%

Esparza

9.4

Esparza

7.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 155cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Esparza

5.0

Esparza

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 39 years old

Esparza

6.3

Esparza

4.5

ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 27 bouts

Esparza

8.2

Esparza

10.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.