Manny Pacquiao vs Ruslan Provodnikov — stats-based predictionManny Pacquiao vs Ruslan Provodnikov — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Ruslan Provodnikov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS
🇷🇺

Ruslan Provodnikov

30-5-0
47%10% Draw43%
Pacquiao
Provodnikov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Manny Pacquiao a 47% edge over Ruslan Provodnikov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Ruslan Provodnikov at 86%

Pacquiao
10.0
Provodnikov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pacquiao
0.0
Provodnikov
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pacquiao
4.6
Provodnikov
5.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 86%

Pacquiao
10.0
Provodnikov
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 35 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
Provodnikov
5.3
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 42 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
Provodnikov
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.